QuantSports | Sports Data & Valuations

Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson

Detroit Pistons

Size

6-7 (201cm) · 215 lbs (98kg)

Age

Apr 22, 1994 (Age 32.1)

Pre Draft

Michigan (Sr)

Hometown

New Castle, New Hampshire

Country

United States

Salary

$16.8M · 3 yr

Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson

Detroit Pistons

6-7 (201cm) · $16.8M

quantsportshq.com

Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson

Detroit Pistons

Size

6-7 (201cm) · 215 lbs (98kg)

Age

Apr 22, 1994 (Age 32.1)

Pre Draft

Michigan (Sr)

Hometown

New Castle, New Hampshire

Country

United States

Salary

$16.8M · 3 yr

Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson

Detroit Pistons

6-7 (201cm) · $16.8M

quantsportshq.com

Impact

QI/100

90

Q Impact

93

O-Impact

92

D-Impact

85

WAR

QWAR

78

O-WAR

92

D-WAR

85

Skills

Scoring

78

Playmaking

92

Rebounding

1

Defense

9

Reliability

Consistency

42

Durability

90

Value

Surplus

32

Trade Value

1

QWAR

Quant Sports Wins Above Replacement

Statistics

Season	Team	GP	MIN	QWAR	Q Impact	O-Impact	D-Impact	QI/100	Scoring	Playmaking	Rebounding	Defense
2018-19	MIA	15	10.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019-20	—	89	29.2	+2.9	+6.4	4.9	1.5	4.0	77th	67th	1st	2nd
2020-21	—	60	32.2	+1.8	+8.1	5.5	2.6	2.9	63rd	57th	1st	6th
2021-22	MIA	79	25.9	+1.1	+3.2	1.3	1.9	1.0	41st	73rd	1st	10th
2022-23	MIA	42	16.4	-0.3	+0.3	-0.3	-0.1	-1.0	18th	43rd	21st	25th
2023-24	MIA	68	28.0	+0.8	+2.3	0.6	1.7	0.1	48th	51st	1st	10th
2024-25	MIA	74	24.1	+0.3	+2.0	-1.1	0.9	-0.1	46th	66th	1st	6th
2025-26	DET	77	27.4	+2.1	+6.0	3.8	2.2	2.7	78th	92nd	1st	9th
Career	—	504	26.2	+8.7	+28.3	+14.8	10.6	1.6	53rd	64th	4th	10th

Contract

Veteran Contract

Season	Salary	Surplus
2025-26	$16.8M	-1.2
2026-27	$16.0M	-1.0
2027-28	$15.2M	-1.4

AAV

$16.0M

Remaining

$48M

Value Analysis

$15.6M

$16.8M

ProductionSalary

Net surplus	-1.2M
Cap hit	11.0%
Contract surplus	-3.6M

Trade Value

Rotation-level asset

QWAR (season)2.1

Age32

Yrs remaining3

Fantasy

Redraft

SELL HIGH

22.7FPPG

25.8 ↑L5 FPPG

#195ADP

+29vs ADP

Dynasty

SellAge 31

77/82GP

Role

Part-time

66%starts

27.4 ↓MPG

L10 MIN

Schedule

Home (39g)24.8

Away (38g)20.6

Rest (53g)22.1

B2B (24g)24.0

Range

-5Floor

25Median

42Ceiling

80%Consistency

Recent Production— FP- - 5G- - avg

ADP vs Actual— actual- - ADP pace

ADP #195 · 77g played+262 FP

Last 10 Games

Date	Opp	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK	TOV	FP
Apr 12	@ IND	22	9	2	2	1	0	0	1	17.0
Apr 10	@ CHA	26	19	3	1	3	1	0	1	28.0
Apr 8	vs MIL	24	20	1	3	4	1	0	1	36.0
Apr 4	@ PHI	23	11	2	2	3	0	0	0	21.0
Apr 2	vs MIN	29	15	4	3	3	1	0	2	27.0
Mar 31	vs TOR	29	19	1	2	5	1	0	1	33.0
Mar 28	@ MIN	24	10	2	2	2	0	0	0	17.0
Mar 25	vs ATL	32	17	7	4	5	0	0	0	37.0
Mar 23	vs LAL	28	12	0	2	4	0	0	2	14.0
Mar 20	vs GSW	29	11	1	2	2	2	0	0	24.0

Betting

Prop

Hit Rates by Line

Line	L5	L10	L20	Season	Edge
8.5+	100%	100%	80%	78%	+25.5pp
12.5+	60%	50%	50%	52%	-0.4pp
16+	40%	40%	25%	21%	-31.6pp

Last 10 Gamesline 12.5

Date	Opponent	Stat	Line	Result
Apr 12	@ IND	9	12.5	U
Apr 10	@ CHA	19	12.5	O
Apr 8	vs MIL	20	12.5	O
Apr 4	@ PHI	11	12.5	U
Apr 2	vs MIN	15	12.5	O
Mar 31	vs TOR	19	12.5	O
Mar 28	@ MIN	10	12.5	U
Mar 25	vs ATL	17	12.5	O
Mar 23	vs LAL	12	12.5	U
Mar 20	vs GSW	11	12.5	U

Invest (coming soon)

$18.83+3.8%+20.2% from IPO

IPO $16High $25Low $13Season $15–$22