Patrick Mahomes
Patrick Mahomes
QB #15 · 6'2" · $28.1M
quantsportshq.com
QUANT
Q Impact
93
QWAR
78
Q Grade
99
EFFICIENCY
EPA/Dropback
83
CPOE
57
Completion %
37
YPA
57
Sack Avoid
45
PRODUCTION
Passer Rating
53
Passing YDS
80
Passing TDs
72
Avoid INTs
7
Rush Contrib
93
RELIABILITY
Consistency
99
Durability
70
VALUE
Surplus ($/WAR)
32
Trade Value
53

QWAR

Quant Sports Wins Above Replacement by season

Statistics

SeasonTeamGPCMPATTCMP%YDSTDINTSCKRTG
2017KC1223562.928401276.4
2018KC1638358066.05097501226113.8
2019KC1431948465.9403126517105.3
2020KC1539058866.3474038622108.2
2021KC1743665866.3483937132898.5
2022KC1743564867.15250411226105.2
2023KC1640159767.2418327142792.6
2024KC1639258167.5392826113693.5
2025KC1431550262.7358722113489.6
Contract
SeasonCap HitSurplus
2025$28.1M+17.6
2026$34.7M+11.5
2027$85.3M-38.6
2028$53.0M-5.9
2029$55.4M-8.3
2030$56.4M-9.3
2031$48.4M-1.3

APY

$45.0M

Remaining

$361M

Value Analysis
$45.7M
$28.1M
ProductionCap Hit
Trade Value
53Starter-level asset
WAR (season)3.8
Career WAR44.5
Age30
Yrs remaining10

Fantasy

Redraft

Buy Low

20.4FPPG
15.8 ↓L5 FPPG
QBPosition
14Games

Dynasty

HoldAge 30
14GP

Role

QB

100%active%
14games
L10 FP

Schedule

Home (0g)
Away (0g)

Range

6Floor
23Median
31Ceiling
64%Consistency
Recent Production FP- - 5G- - avg
10203040
Season Pace actual- - avg pace
100200
14g · 20.4 FPPGQB
Last 10 Games
WeekOppYdsTDINTFP
Wk 15vs LAC1890113.1
Wk 14vs HOU160036.3
Wk 13vs DAL2614029.4
Wk 12vs IND3520117.1
Wk 11vs DEN2761113.3
Wk 9vs BUF2500110.5
Wk 8vs WAS2993223.0
Wk 7vs LV2863026.2
Wk 6vs DET2573031.5
Wk 5vs JAX3181126.7

Betting

Prop

Hit Rates by Line
LineL5L10L20SeasonEdge
225+60%80%71%71%+19.0pp
250+60%80%71%71%+19.0pp
275+40%50%36%36%-16.7pp
300+20%20%14%14%-38.1pp
Last 10 Gamesline 256.5
WeekOpponentStatLineResult
Wk 15vs LAC189256.5UNDER
Wk 14vs HOU160256.5UNDER
Wk 13vs DAL261256.5OVER
Wk 12vs IND352256.5OVER
Wk 11vs DEN276256.5OVER
Wk 9vs BUF250256.5UNDER
Wk 8vs WAS299256.5OVER
Wk 7vs LV286256.5OVER
Wk 6vs DET257256.5OVER
Wk 5vs JAX318256.5OVER

Invest (coming soon)

$50.87-20.0%+108.3% from IPO
IPO $24High $75Low $21Season $46–$66