Quant Sports
Aaron Wiggins
Aaron Wiggins
Oklahoma City Thunder
6-5 (196cm) · $9.7M
quantsportshq.com

Impact

QI/100
52
Q Impact
58
O-Impact
8
D-Impact
71

WAR

QWAR
4
O-WAR
8
D-WAR
71

Skills

Scoring
10
Playmaking
12
Rebounding
12
Defense
74

Reliability

Consistency
52
Durability
95

Value

Surplus
15
Trade Value
45

QWAR

Quant Sports Wins Above Replacement

Statistics

2025 NBA Champ
SeasonTeamGPMINQWARQ ImpactO-ImpactD-ImpactQI/100ScoringPlaymakingReboundingDefense
2021-22OKC5024.2+0.1-0.30.20.1-1.717th23rd20th18th
2022-23—7018.5+0.8+0.9-0.2-0.7-0.447th37th33rd68th
2023-24OKC7815.7+1.3+2.01.10.91.065th30th28th78th
2024-25OKC7622.9+1.7+5.03.71.32.271st66th20th34th
2025-26OKC6421.8-0.4+1.9-0.91.10.210th12th12th74th
Career—33820.3+3.5+9.5+3.92.60.442nd34th23rd54th
Contract
Veteran Contract
SeasonSalarySurplus
2025-26$9.7M-7.5
2026-27$8.8M-6.7
2027-28$8.0M-5.8
2028-29Team$8.0M-5.8

AAV

$9.4M

Remaining

$34M

Value Analysis
$2.2M
$9.7M
ProductionSalary
Net surplus-7.5M
Cap hit7.0%
Contract surplus-25.8M
Trade Value
9Role Contributor0100

Fringe asset

QWAR (season)-0.4
Career QWAR3.5
Age27
Yrs remaining4

Fantasy

Redraft

HOLD STRONG

18.8FPPG
14.2 ↓L5 FPPG
#97ADP
+9vs ADP

Dynasty

MonitorAge 27
64/82GP

Role

Bench

39%starts
21.8 ↓MPG
L10 MIN

Schedule

Home (32g)15.4
Away (32g)22.2
Rest (44g)16.9
B2B (20g)23.1

Range

-5Floor
17Median
54Ceiling
65%Consistency
Recent Production— FP- - 5G- - avg
2040
ADP vs Actual— actual- - ADP pace
7001400
ADP #97 · 64g played-838 FP
Last 10 Games
DateOppMINPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLKTOVFP
Apr 12vs PHX27325111215.0
Apr 10@ DEN251333230034.0
Apr 8@ LAC421000012.0
Apr 7@ LAL201020210117.0
Apr 5vs UTA800100103.0
Apr 2vs LAL1370110018.0
Mar 30vs DET171021210020.0
Mar 27vs CHI11920100014.0
Mar 23@ PHI1151011019.0
Mar 21@ WAS2152011043.0

Betting

Prop

Hit Rates by Line
LineL5L10L20SeasonEdge
7+40%40%40%56%+3.9pp
10+20%10%15%41%-11.8pp
12.5+20%10%15%27%-25.8pp
Last 10 Gamesline 10
DateOpponentStatLineResult
Apr 12vs PHX310U
Apr 10@ DEN1310O
Apr 8@ LAC210U
Apr 7@ LAL1010U
Apr 5vs UTA010U
Apr 2vs LAL710U
Mar 30vs DET1010U
Mar 27vs CHI910U
Mar 23@ PHI510U
Mar 21@ WAS510U

Invest (coming soon)

$17.79-20.0%+14.0% from IPO
IPO $16High $26Low $13Season $18–$26