Jabari Smith Jr.
Jabari Smith Jr.
6-11 (211cm) · $12.4M
quantsportshq.com

Impact

QI/100
59
Q Impact
80
O-Impact
87
D-Impact
63

WAR

QWAR
41
O-WAR
87
D-WAR
63

Skills

Scoring
50
Playmaking
45
Rebounding
1
Defense
25

Reliability

Consistency
67
Durability
87

Value

Surplus
20
Trade Value
72

QWAR

Quant Sports Wins Above Replacement

Statistics

2022-23 All-Rookie
SeasonTeamGPMINQWARQ ImpactO-ImpactD-ImpactQI/100ScoringPlaymakingReboundingDefense
2022-23HOU7931.0-0.5-1.80.90.9-2.72nd11th10th27th
2023-24HOU7631.9+0.9+0.2-0.1-0.1-1.742nd21st22nd53rd
2024-25HOU5730.1+1.4+2.7-0.32.40.749th17th20th47th
2025-26HOU7635.0+0.6+3.73.10.70.550th45th1st25th
Career28832.1+2.4+4.8+3.63.9-0.936th24th13th38th
Contract
Rookie Scale Contract
SeasonSalarySurplus
2025-26Team$12.4M-5.8
2026-27$23.6M-16.9
2027-28$21.8M-14.9
2028-29$23.6M-16.7
2029-30$25.5M-18.5
2030-31$27.4M-20.3

AAV

$10.1M

Remaining

$134M

Value Analysis
$6.6M
$12.4M
ProductionSalary
Net surplus-5.8M
Cap hit7.0%
Contract surplus-93.1M
Trade Value
44Elite Role Player0100

Rotation-level asset

QWAR (season)0.6
Career QWAR2.4
Age23
Yrs remaining6

Fantasy

Redraft

HOLD STRONG

30.7FPPG
29.4L5 FPPG
#129ADP
+32vs ADP

Dynasty

BuyAge 22
76/82GP

Role

Starter

97%starts
35.0MPG
L10 MIN

Schedule

Home (38g)31.4
Away (38g)30.1
Rest (50g)30.9
B2B (26g)30.3

Range

4Floor
30Median
68Ceiling
76%Consistency
Recent Production FP- - 5G- - avg
2040
ADP vs Actual actual- - ADP pace
8001600
ADP #129 · 76g played+379 FP
Last 10 Games
DateOppMINPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLKTOVFP
Apr 10vs MIN401662202130.0
Apr 9vs PHI341950101320.0
Apr 7@ PHX392061501031.0
Apr 5@ GSW322391500241.0
Apr 3vs UTA241850410125.0
Apr 1vs MIL331274202228.0
Mar 31vs NYK391562310130.0
Mar 29@ NOP332043402041.0
Mar 27@ MEM3721164201536.0
Mar 25@ MIN4816121211333.0

Betting

Prop

Hit Rates by Line
LineL5L10L20SeasonEdge
12.5+100%90%80%75%+22.6pp
16.5+80%60%55%41%-11.6pp
20+20%20%25%20%-32.6pp
Last 10 Gamesline 16.5
DateOpponentStatLineResult
Apr 10vs MIN1616.5U
Apr 9vs PHI1916.5O
Apr 7@ PHX2016.5O
Apr 5@ GSW2316.5O
Apr 3vs UTA1816.5O
Apr 1vs MIL1216.5U
Mar 31vs NYK1516.5U
Mar 29@ NOP2016.5O
Mar 27@ MEM2116.5O
Mar 25@ MIN1616.5U

Invest (coming soon)

$30.87+7.7%-9.9% from IPO
IPO $34High $33Low $24Season $25–$33