Ajay Mitchell
Ajay Mitchell
6-4 (193cm) · $3.0M
quantsportshq.com

Impact

QI/100
81
Q Impact
72
O-Impact
65
D-Impact
86

WAR

QWAR
79
O-WAR
65
D-WAR
86

Skills

Scoring
66
Playmaking
77
Rebounding
63
Defense
80

Reliability

Consistency
22
Durability
51

Value

Surplus
77
Trade Value
60

QWAR

Quant Sports Wins Above Replacement

Statistics

2025 NBA Champ
SeasonTeamGPMINQWARQ ImpactO-ImpactD-ImpactQI/100ScoringPlaymakingReboundingDefense
2024-25OKC3616.6+0.3+0.7-0.30.3-0.039th53rd57th51st
2025-26OKC5626.0+2.2+3.00.82.31.866th77th63rd80th
Career9222.3+2.5+3.7+0.52.61.253rd65th60th66th
Contract
Veteran Contract
SeasonSalarySurplus
2025-26$3.0M+13.2
2026-27$2.9M+13.9
2027-28Team$2.9M+14.4

AAV

$2.9M

Remaining

$9M

Value Analysis
$16.2M
$3.0M
ProductionSalary
Net surplus+13.2M
Cap hit2.0%
Contract surplus+41.5M
Trade Value
33Elite Role Player0100

Rotation-level asset

QWAR (season)2.2
Career QWAR2.5
Age23
Yrs remaining3

Fantasy

Redraft

HOLD

27.9FPPG
21.0 ↓L5 FPPG
ADP
vs ADP

Dynasty

BuyAge 23
56/82GP

Role

Part-time

59%starts
26.0MPG
L10 MIN

Schedule

Home (29g)27.6
Away (27g)28.3
Rest (38g)28.8
B2B (18g)26.0

Range

-3Floor
29Median
55Ceiling
68%Consistency
Recent Production FP- - 5G- - avg
2040
ADP vs Actual actual- - avg pace
5501100
Last 10 Games
DateOppMINPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLKTOVFP
Apr 8@ LAC24713010017.0
Apr 7@ LAL21933110020.0
Apr 5vs UTA19717110220.0
Apr 2vs LAL161031200018.0
Mar 30vs DET361423021130.0
Mar 29vs NYK24845200022.0
Mar 27vs CHI251535102235.0
Mar 25@ BOS25832001116.0
Mar 21@ WAS151413210127.0
Mar 18@ BKN231072010124.0

Betting

Prop

Hit Rates by Line
LineL5L10L20SeasonEdge
10+20%30%60%70%+17.3pp
14+0%10%40%41%-11.3pp
17.5+0%0%10%18%-34.5pp
Last 10 Gamesline 14
DateOpponentStatLineResult
Apr 8@ LAC714U
Apr 7@ LAL914U
Apr 5vs UTA714U
Apr 2vs LAL1014U
Mar 30vs DET1414U
Mar 29vs NYK814U
Mar 27vs CHI1514O
Mar 25@ BOS814U
Mar 21@ WAS1414U
Mar 18@ BKN1014U

Invest (coming soon)

$20.23-5.6%+29.7% from IPO
IPO $16High $20Low $13Season $17–$20