QuantSports | Sports Data & Valuations

Chet Holmgren

Oklahoma City Thunder

Size

7-1 (216cm) · 208 lbs (94kg)

Age

May 1, 2002 (Age 24.1) · Yr 4

Pre Draft

Gonzaga (Fr)

Hometown

Minneapolis, Minnesota

Country

United States

Salary

$13.7M · 6 yr

Draft

2022 R1 #2

Chet Holmgren

Oklahoma City Thunder

7-1 (216cm) · $13.7M

quantsportshq.com

Chet Holmgren

Oklahoma City Thunder

Size

7-1 (216cm) · 208 lbs (94kg)

Age

May 1, 2002 (Age 24.1) · Yr 4

Pre Draft

Gonzaga (Fr)

Hometown

Minneapolis, Minnesota

Country

United States

Salary

$13.7M · 6 yr

Draft

2022 R1 #2

Chet Holmgren

Oklahoma City Thunder

7-1 (216cm) · $13.7M

quantsportshq.com

Impact

QI/100

Q Impact

O-Impact

D-Impact

WAR

QWAR

O-WAR

D-WAR

Skills

Scoring

Playmaking

Rebounding

Defense

Reliability

Consistency

Durability

Value

Surplus

Trade Value

QWAR

Quant Sports Wins Above Replacement

Statistics

2x All Star2025 NBA Champ2023-24 All-Rookie2025-26 All-NBA2025-26 All-Defensive

Season	Team	GP	MIN	QWAR	Q Impact	O-Impact	D-Impact	QI/100	Scoring	Playmaking	Rebounding	Defense
2023-24	OKC	82	29.4	+5.9	+7.4	4.0	3.4	2.8	83rd	16th	24th	99th
2024-25	OKC	32	27.4	+2.9	+3.5	0.1	3.5	1.9	66th	12th	46th	96th
2025-26	OKC	68	28.8	+5.1	+6.5	2.2	4.4	3.8	88th	8th	59th	99th
Career	—	182	28.8	+13.9	+17.5	+6.2	11.3	2.8	79th	12th	43rd	98th

Contract

Rookie Scale Contract

Season	Salary	Surplus
2025-26Team	$13.7M	+19.8
2026-27	$41.4M	-6.9
2027-28	$44.7M	-9.6
2028-29	$48.0M	-12.4
2029-30	$51.3M	-15.1
2030-31	$54.6M	-18.5

AAV

$11.2M

Remaining

$254M

Value Analysis

$33.5M

$13.7M

ProductionSalary

Net surplus	+19.8M
Cap hit	8.0%
Contract surplus	-42.7M

Trade Value

Starter-level asset

QWAR (season)5.1

Career QWAR13.9

Age24

Yrs remaining6

Fantasy

Redraft

SELL HIGH

38.0FPPG

45.8 ↑L5 FPPG

#32ADP

+10vs ADP

Dynasty

BuyAge 23

68/82GP

Role

Starter ↓

81%starts

28.8 ↓MPG

L10 MIN

Schedule

Home (33g)37.9

Away (35g)38.1

Rest (50g)38.0

B2B (18g)38.1

Range

12Floor

39Median

81Ceiling

80%Consistency

Recent Production— FP- - 5G- - avg

ADP vs Actual— actual- - ADP pace

ADP #32 · 68g played-1472 FP

Last 10 Games

Date	Opp	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK	TOV	FP
Apr 8	@ LAC	31	30	14	5	3	2	4	2	81.0
Apr 7	@ LAL	22	15	10	0	1	2	2	2	39.0
Apr 5	vs UTA	22	21	7	1	4	0	4	1	52.0
Apr 2	vs LAL	18	7	4	0	1	2	1	1	21.0
Mar 30	vs DET	30	13	9	1	1	2	2	3	36.0
Mar 29	vs NYK	33	16	9	2	0	1	0	1	30.0
Mar 25	@ BOS	26	10	5	0	1	0	0	1	12.0
Mar 23	@ PHI	30	17	9	4	3	0	5	1	56.0
Mar 21	@ WAS	27	18	10	0	0	0	2	1	37.0
Mar 18	@ BKN	22	11	2	1	0	1	1	3	14.0

Betting

Prop

Hit Rates by Line

Line	L5	L10	L20	Season	Edge
13.5+	60%	60%	70%	71%	+18.2pp
17.5+	40%	30%	35%	41%	-11.2pp
21+	20%	10%	10%	22%	-30.3pp

Last 10 Gamesline 17.5

Date	Opponent	Stat	Line	Result
Apr 8	@ LAC	30	17.5	O
Apr 7	@ LAL	15	17.5	U
Apr 5	vs UTA	21	17.5	O
Apr 2	vs LAL	7	17.5	U
Mar 30	vs DET	13	17.5	U
Mar 29	vs NYK	16	17.5	U
Mar 25	@ BOS	10	17.5	U
Mar 23	@ PHI	17	17.5	U
Mar 21	@ WAS	18	17.5	O
Mar 18	@ BKN	11	17.5	U

Invest (coming soon)

$33.30-6.9%-2.8% from IPO

IPO $34High $38Low $24Season $31–$38