QuantSports | Sports Data & Valuations

Daniel Gafford

Dallas Mavericks

Size

6-10 (208cm) · 265 lbs (120kg)

Age

Oct 1, 1998 (Age 27.7) · Yr 7

Pre Draft

Arkansas (So)

Hometown

El Dorado, Arkansas

Country

United States

Salary

$14.4M · 4 yr

Draft

2019 R2 #8

Daniel Gafford

Dallas Mavericks

6-10 (208cm) · $14.4M

quantsportshq.com

Daniel Gafford

Dallas Mavericks

Size

6-10 (208cm) · 265 lbs (120kg)

Age

Oct 1, 1998 (Age 27.7) · Yr 7

Pre Draft

Arkansas (So)

Hometown

El Dorado, Arkansas

Country

United States

Salary

$14.4M · 4 yr

Draft

2019 R2 #8

Daniel Gafford

Dallas Mavericks

6-10 (208cm) · $14.4M

quantsportshq.com

Impact

QI/100

65

Q Impact

63

O-Impact

44

D-Impact

85

WAR

QWAR

80

O-WAR

44

D-WAR

85

Skills

Scoring

76

Playmaking

5

Rebounding

87

Defense

96

Reliability

Consistency

70

Durability

56

Value

Surplus

49

Trade Value

89

QWAR

Quant Sports Wins Above Replacement

Statistics

Season	Team	GP	MIN	QWAR	Q Impact	O-Impact	D-Impact	QI/100	Scoring	Playmaking	Rebounding	Defense
2019-20	CHI	43	14.2	+1.0	+0.3	-0.2	0.1	-0.5	45th	24th	44th	84th
2020-21	WAS	36	12.8	+0.9	+1.6	1.5	-0.1	1.1	38th	16th	70th	94th
2021-22	WAS	72	20.1	+2.9	+2.3	1.9	-0.3	1.1	73rd	17th	79th	97th
2022-23	WAS	78	20.6	+2.9	+2.2	1.5	-0.7	0.6	76th	9th	76th	97th
2023-24	DAL/WAS	74	24.5	+5.2	+4.7	1.3	3.4	1.4	78th	32nd	87th	98th
2024-25	DAL	57	21.5	+3.2	+3.3	2.7	0.6	2.3	81st	12th	87th	99th
2025-26	DAL	55	21.7	+2.4	+2.2	0.1	2.2	0.8	76th	5th	87th	96th
Career	—	415	20.1	+18.5	+16.5	+8.8	5.0	1.1	67th	16th	76th	95th

Contract

Veteran Extension

Season	Salary	Surplus
2025-26	$14.4M	+3.0
2026-27	$17.3M	+0.4
2027-28	$18.1M	-0.4
2028-29	$19.0M	-1.3

AAV

$13.4M

Remaining

$69M

Value Analysis

$17.4M

$14.4M

ProductionSalary

Net surplus	+3.0M
Cap hit	9.0%
Contract surplus	+1.7M

Trade Value

Fringe asset

QWAR (season)2.4

Career QWAR18.5

Age27

Yrs remaining4

Fantasy

Redraft

SELL HIGH

25.1FPPG

30.2 ↑L5 FPPG

#135ADP

+27vs ADP

Dynasty

MonitorAge 27

55/82GP

Role

Bench

29%starts

21.7MPG

L10 MIN

Schedule

Home (27g)27.3

Away (28g)23.1

Rest (45g)26.6

B2B (10g)18.6

Range

0Floor

23Median

58Ceiling

68%Consistency

Recent Production— FP- - 5G- - avg

ADP vs Actual— actual- - ADP pace

ADP #135 · 55g played+25 FP

Last 10 Games

Date	Opp	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK	TOV	FP
Apr 5	vs LAL	20	7	7	0	0	2	2	0	29.0
Apr 3	vs ORL	20	7	3	1	0	2	2	0	26.0
Mar 31	@ MIL	11	7	4	0	0	0	1	0	10.0
Mar 30	vs MIN	24	21	8	2	0	0	1	1	37.0
Mar 23	vs GSW	32	20	7	5	0	1	1	0	49.0
Mar 21	vs LAC	25	7	13	1	0	0	0	1	17.0
Mar 18	vs ATL	22	24	8	0	0	0	1	1	41.0
Mar 12	@ MEM	27	22	14	1	0	0	1	2	41.0
Mar 10	@ ATL	25	14	10	1	0	1	0	1	29.0
Mar 8	@ TOR	23	21	11	3	0	0	1	1	50.0

Betting

Prop

Hit Rates by Line

Line	L5	L10	L20	Season	Edge
7+	40%	60%	70%	58%	+5.8pp
10+	40%	60%	40%	33%	-19.7pp
12.5+	40%	60%	35%	27%	-25.1pp

Last 10 Gamesline 10

Date	Opponent	Stat	Line	Result
Apr 5	vs LAL	7	10	U
Apr 3	vs ORL	7	10	U
Mar 31	@ MIL	7	10	U
Mar 30	vs MIN	21	10	O
Mar 23	vs GSW	20	10	O
Mar 21	vs LAC	7	10	U
Mar 18	vs ATL	24	10	O
Mar 12	@ MEM	22	10	O
Mar 10	@ ATL	14	10	O
Mar 8	@ TOR	21	10	O

Invest (coming soon)

$27.82+20.0%+78.3% from IPO

IPO $16High $34Low $13Season $19–$34