Luka Dončić
Luka Dončić
6-8 (203cm) · $46.0M
quantsportshq.com

Impact

QI/100
93
Q Impact
97
O-Impact
99
D-Impact
52

WAR

QWAR
99
O-WAR
99
D-WAR
52

Skills

Scoring
99
Playmaking
93
Rebounding
90
Defense
25

Reliability

Consistency
96
Durability
29

Value

Surplus
69
Trade Value
98

QWAR

Quant Sports Wins Above Replacement

Statistics

7x All Star2023-24 Scoring Champ6x All-NBA2018-19 All-Rookie2018-19 ROY2023-24 WCF MVP
SeasonTeamGPMINQWARQ ImpactO-ImpactD-ImpactQI/100ScoringPlaymakingReboundingDefense
2018-197232.2+4.9+3.12.2-0.80.583rd37th91st20th
2019-20DAL6733.8+9.7+3.12.2-0.91.498th87th97th12th
2020-21DAL4935.0+6.4+6.24.9-1.31.997th75th91st33rd
2021-22DAL6535.4+8.3+5.55.50.01.997th70th94th29th
2022-23DAL6636.2+10.5+6.25.40.82.499th92nd91st40th
2023-24DAL7037.5+15.7+14.77.96.85.899th95th95th67th
2024-25LAL/DAL5035.4+7.0+7.25.12.14.396th85th89th77th
2025-26LAL6335.7+9.9+7.77.30.33.199th93rd90th25th
Career50235.1+72.4+53.7+40.66.92.796th79th92nd38th
Contract
Designated Rookie Scale Extension
SeasonSalarySurplus
2025-26$46.0M+9.6
2026-27$51.0M+5.3
2027-28$55.1M+1.2
2028-29Player$59.2M-2.9

AAV

$43.0M

Remaining

$211M

Value Analysis
$55.6M
$46.0M
ProductionSalary
Net surplus+9.6M
Cap hit30.0%
Contract surplus+13.2M
Trade Value
100Franchise Engine0100

Elite trade asset

QWAR (season)9.9
Career QWAR72.4
Age27
Yrs remaining4

Fantasy

Redraft

HOLD

58.7FPPG
57.2L5 FPPG
ADP
vs ADP

Dynasty

HoldAge 26
63/81GP

Role

Starter

97%starts
35.7MPG
L10 MIN

Schedule

Home (31g)58.7
Away (32g)58.8
Rest (49g)56.9
B2B (14g)65.0

Range

4Floor
60Median
104Ceiling
57%Consistency
Recent Production FP- - 5G- - avg
204060
ADP vs Actual actual- - avg pace
12502500
Last 10 Games
DateOppMINPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLKTOVFP
Apr 2@ OKC261247110618.0
Mar 31vs CLE3442512620085.0
Mar 27vs BKN394183531571.0
Mar 25@ IND384367410560.0
Mar 23@ DET393276330352.0
Mar 21@ ORL383358341460.0
Mar 19@ MIA3860739502100.0
Mar 18@ HOU3840910710564.0
Mar 16@ HOU403664420454.0
Mar 14vs DEN43301113413666.0

Betting

Prop

Hit Rates by Line
LineL5L10L20SeasonEdge
30+80%80%65%62%+9.5pp
34+60%60%50%46%-6.3pp
37.5+60%50%40%33%-19.0pp
Last 10 Gamesline 34
DateOpponentStatLineResult
Apr 2@ OKC1234U
Mar 31vs CLE4234O
Mar 27vs BKN4134O
Mar 25@ IND4334O
Mar 23@ DET3234U
Mar 21@ ORL3334U
Mar 19@ MIA6034O
Mar 18@ HOU4034O
Mar 16@ HOU3634O
Mar 14vs DEN3034U

Invest (coming soon)

$63.90+3.9%+86.5% from IPO
IPO $34High $71Low $30Season $50–$71