Paolo Banchero | Orlando Magic | QuantSports

Paolo Banchero

Size

6-10 (208cm) · 250 lbs (113kg)

Age

Nov 12, 2002 (Age 23.5) · Yr 4

Pre Draft

Duke (Fr)

Hometown

Seattle, Washington

Country

United States / Italy

Salary

$15.3M · 6 yr

Draft

2022 R1 #1

Paolo Banchero

6-10 (208cm) · $15.3M

quantsportshq.com

Paolo Banchero

Size

6-10 (208cm) · 250 lbs (113kg)

Age

Nov 12, 2002 (Age 23.5) · Yr 4

Pre Draft

Duke (Fr)

Hometown

Seattle, Washington

Country

United States / Italy

Salary

$15.3M · 6 yr

Draft

2022 R1 #1

Paolo Banchero

6-10 (208cm) · $15.3M

quantsportshq.com

Impact

QI/100

58

Q Impact

80

O-Impact

1

D-Impact

88

WAR

QWAR

90

O-WAR

1

D-WAR

88

Skills

Scoring

90

Playmaking

35

Rebounding

25

Defense

8

Reliability

Consistency

81

Durability

87

Value

Surplus

74

Trade Value

90

QWAR

Quant Sports Wins Above Replacement

Statistics

1x All Star2022-23 ROY2022-23 All-Rookie

Season	Team	GP	MIN	QWAR	Q Impact	O-Impact	D-Impact	QI/100	Scoring	Playmaking	Rebounding	Defense
2022-23	ORL	72	33.8	+2.2	+2.0	0.8	-1.2	-0.3	77th	8th	18th	17th
2023-24	ORL	80	35.0	+4.2	+3.5	0.3	-3.1	-0.1	89th	32nd	11th	12th
2024-25	ORL	46	34.4	+3.9	+1.9	-1.0	0.9	-0.0	92nd	47th	27th	17th
2025-26	ORL	72	34.7	+4.0	+3.8	-1.3	2.5	0.5	90th	35th	25th	8th
Career	—	270	34.5	+14.3	+11.1	-1.1	-0.9	0.0	87th	31st	20th	14th

Contract

Rookie Scale Contract

Season	Salary	Surplus
2025-26Team	$15.3M	+11.7
2026-27	$42.5M	-14.6
2027-28	$45.9M	-17.0
2028-29	$49.3M	-19.9
2029-30	$52.7M	-22.7
2030-31Player	$56.1M	-25.6

AAV

$12.5M

Remaining

$262M

Value Analysis

$27.0M

$15.3M

ProductionSalary

Net surplus	+11.7M
Cap hit	9.0%
Contract surplus	-88.1M

Trade Value

Elite trade asset

QWAR (season)4.0

Career QWAR14.3

Age23

Yrs remaining6

Fantasy

Redraft

BUY LOW

37.9FPPG

42.8 ↑L5 FPPG

#27ADP

-11vs ADP

Dynasty

BuyAge 23

72/82GP

Role

Starter

94%starts

34.7MPG

L10 MIN

Schedule

Home (36g)36.0

Away (36g)39.7

Rest (46g)38.8

B2B (26g)36.2

Range

1Floor

39Median

65Ceiling

74%Consistency

Recent Production— FP- - 5G- - avg

ADP vs Actual— actual- - ADP pace

ADP #27 · 72g played-1781 FP

Last 10 Games

Date	Opp	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK	TOV	FP
Apr 12	@ BOS	38	23	10	11	0	0	0	6	33.0
Apr 10	@ CHI	27	14	9	7	1	2	0	4	35.0
Apr 8	vs MIN	29	20	8	6	1	1	0	2	44.0
Apr 6	vs DET	38	31	5	3	1	3	0	2	55.0
Apr 5	@ NOP	38	23	16	6	0	2	1	5	47.0
Apr 3	@ DAL	31	10	7	5	1	0	0	3	16.0
Apr 1	vs ATL	26	11	8	3	0	1	0	3	19.0
Mar 31	vs PHX	37	19	9	8	1	0	0	4	32.0
Mar 29	@ TOR	30	9	5	3	0	0	0	5	1.0
Mar 26	vs SAC	38	30	9	7	1	0	0	1	51.0

Betting

Prop

Hit Rates by Line

Line	L5	L10	L20	Season	Edge
18.5+	80%	60%	65%	67%	+14.3pp
22.5+	60%	40%	50%	53%	+0.4pp
26+	20%	20%	35%	29%	-23.2pp

Last 10 Gamesline 22.5

Date	Opponent	Stat	Line	Result
Apr 12	@ BOS	23	22.5	O
Apr 10	@ CHI	14	22.5	U
Apr 8	vs MIN	20	22.5	U
Apr 6	vs DET	31	22.5	O
Apr 5	@ NOP	23	22.5	O
Apr 3	@ DAL	10	22.5	U
Apr 1	vs ATL	11	22.5	U
Mar 31	vs PHX	19	22.5	U
Mar 29	@ TOR	9	22.5	U
Mar 26	vs SAC	30	22.5	O

Invest (coming soon)

$42.97-12.4%+25.4% from IPO

IPO $34High $46Low $31Season $38–$46