Ace Bailey
Ace Bailey
6-9 (206cm) · $9.0M
quantsportshq.com

Impact

QI/100
7
Q Impact
4
O-Impact
58
D-Impact
54

WAR

QWAR
22
O-WAR
58
D-WAR
54

Skills

Scoring
38
Playmaking
10
Rebounding
5
Defense
15

Reliability

Durability
62

Value

Surplus
17

QWAR

Quant Sports Wins Above Replacement

Statistics

SeasonTeamGPMINQWARQ ImpactO-ImpactD-ImpactQI/100ScoringPlaymakingReboundingDefense
2025-26UTA7227.6+0.1-0.80.50.4-2.738th10th5th15th
Career7227.6+0.1-0.8+0.50.4-2.738th10th5th15th
Contract
Rookie Scale Contract
SeasonSalarySurplus
2025-26$9.0M-5.4
2026-27$9.5M-5.9
2027-28Team$10.0M-6.3
2028-29Team$12.6M-9.0

AAV

$10.3M

Remaining

$41M

Value Analysis
$2.1M
$9.0M
ProductionSalary
Net surplus-6.9M
Cap hit6.0%
Contract surplus-26.6M
Trade Value
66Elite Role Player0100

Star-level asset

QWAR (season)0.1
Career QWAR0.1
Age19
Yrs remaining4

Fantasy

Redraft

HOLD STRONG

24.9FPPG
25.4L5 FPPG
#127ADP
+22vs ADP

Dynasty

BuyAge 19
72/82GP

Role

Starter

72%starts
27.6MPG
L10 MIN

Schedule

Home (37g)29.2
Away (35g)20.3
Rest (46g)24.0
B2B (26g)26.4

Range

-1Floor
24Median
66Ceiling
71%Consistency
Recent Production FP- - 5G- - avg
204060
ADP vs Actual actual- - ADP pace
6501300
ADP #127 · 72g played-91 FP
Last 10 Games
DateOppMINPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLKTOVFP
Apr 12@ LAL291531101310.0
Apr 10vs MEM2923102331351.0
Apr 5@ OKC341442212328.0
Apr 3@ HOU332261201232.0
Apr 1vs DEN34121210026.0
Mar 30vs CLE351925300133.0
Mar 28@ PHX341362103422.0
Mar 27@ DEN281571100221.0
Mar 25vs WAS291553122136.0
Mar 23vs TOR353763702065.0

Betting

Prop

Hit Rates by Line
LineL5L10L20SeasonEdge
10.5+100%100%90%64%+11.5pp
14.5+60%70%65%44%-7.9pp
18+40%40%40%29%-23.2pp
Last 10 Gamesline 14.5
DateOpponentStatLineResult
Apr 12@ LAL1514.5O
Apr 10vs MEM2314.5O
Apr 5@ OKC1414.5U
Apr 3@ HOU2214.5O
Apr 1vs DEN1214.5U
Mar 30vs CLE1914.5O
Mar 28@ PHX1314.5U
Mar 27@ DEN1514.5O
Mar 25vs WAS1514.5O
Mar 23vs TOR3714.5O

Invest (coming soon)

$26.19+3.4%-0.3% from IPO
IPO $26High $26Low $22Season $24–$26