Marvin Bagley III
Marvin Bagley III
6-10 (208cm) · $3.1M
quantsportshq.com

Impact

QI/100
17
Q Impact
17
O-Impact
41
D-Impact
22

WAR

QWAR
53
O-WAR
41
D-WAR
22

Skills

Scoring
60
Playmaking
18
Rebounding
88
Defense
71

Reliability

Consistency
1
Durability
48

Value

Surplus
51

QWAR

Quant Sports Wins Above Replacement

Statistics

2018-19 All-Rookie
SeasonTeamGPMINQWARQ ImpactO-ImpactD-ImpactQI/100ScoringPlaymakingReboundingDefense
2018-19SAC6225.3+2.2-0.10.00.1-1.666th5th74th44th
2019-20SAC1325.7
2020-21SAC3725.7+0.8-0.10.00.1-1.559th10th76th22nd
2021-22DET/SAC4823.9+0.5+1.00.5-0.50.025th29th73rd34th
2022-23DET4223.6+0.6+0.30.0-0.2-1.146th19th68th57th
2023-24WAS/DET5021.1+1.3+0.5-0.2-0.3-1.166th8th83rd73rd
2024-25MEM/WAS318.5
2025-26DAL/WAS6020.0+1.0+0.20.0-0.2-1.860th18th88th71st
Career34321.9+6.4+1.8+0.3-1.0-1.254th15th77th50th
Contract
Veteran Contract
SeasonSalarySurplus
2025-26$3.1M+5.9

AAV

$3.1M

Remaining

$3M

Value Analysis
$6.6M
$3.1M
ProductionSalary
Net surplus+3.5M
Cap hit2.0%
Contract surplus+5.9M
Trade Value
3Role Contributor0100

Fringe asset

QWAR (season)1.0
Career QWAR6.4
Age27
Yrs remaining1

Fantasy

Redraft

HOLD

23.3FPPG
34.0 ↑L5 FPPG
ADP
vs ADP

Dynasty

MonitorAge 26
60/82GP

Role

Bench

22%starts
20.0MPG
L10 MIN

Schedule

Home (25g)20.0
Away (35g)25.6
Rest (44g)22.8
B2B (16g)24.7

Range

2Floor
23Median
55Ceiling
71%Consistency
Recent Production FP- - 5G- - avg
204060
ADP vs Actual actual- - avg pace
5001000
Last 10 Games
DateOppMINPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLKTOVFP
Apr 10@ SAS821100003.0
Apr 8@ PHX262082301239.0
Apr 7@ LAC262191112050.0
Apr 5vs LAL22940111023.0
Mar 27@ POR272693311155.0
Mar 25@ DEN17733000013.0
Mar 23vs GSW15903100115.0
Mar 21vs LAC251771200228.0
Mar 18vs ATL16270010013.0
Mar 16@ NOP19991110026.0

Betting

Prop

Hit Rates by Line
LineL5L10L20SeasonEdge
8+80%70%55%60%+7.6pp
11+60%40%35%38%-14.0pp
13.5+60%40%30%28%-24.0pp
Last 10 Gamesline 11
DateOpponentStatLineResult
Apr 10@ SAS211U
Apr 8@ PHX2011O
Apr 7@ LAC2111O
Apr 5vs LAL911U
Mar 27@ POR2611O
Mar 25@ DEN711U
Mar 23vs GSW911U
Mar 21vs LAC1711O
Mar 18vs ATL211U
Mar 16@ NOP911U

Invest (coming soon)

$22.05+20.0%-35.7% from IPO
IPO $34High $32Low $20Season $20–$28