Quant Sports
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
Atlanta Hawks
6-5 (196cm) · $15.2M
quantsportshq.com

Impact

QI/100
69
Q Impact
88
O-Impact
96
D-Impact
16

WAR

QWAR
87
O-WAR
96
D-WAR
16

Skills

Scoring
91
Playmaking
53
Rebounding
23
Defense
13

Reliability

Consistency
56
Durability
98

Value

Surplus
65
Trade Value
50

QWAR

Quant Sports Wins Above Replacement

Statistics

2025-26 MIP
SeasonTeamGPMINQWARQ ImpactO-ImpactD-ImpactQI/100ScoringPlaymakingReboundingDefense
2019-20NOP/ATL4712.6-0.1+0.10.00.0-1.118th30th54th40th
2020-21NOP4120.7+0.3-0.30.10.1-1.728th23rd50th41st
2021-22UTA/POR/NOP6522.5+0.6-0.30.20.0-1.634th23rd52nd25th
2022-23MIN5915.0+0.3+0.3-0.30.0-1.130th46th47th55th
2023-24MIN8223.4+2.9+4.90.14.81.622nd82nd27th64th
2024-25—8225.3+1.7+4.41.82.61.229th76th53rd10th
2025-26ATL7833.4+3.4+5.14.7-0.41.191st53rd23rd13th
Career—45422.9+9.1+14.2+6.67.20.336th48th44th35th
Contract
Veteran Contract
SeasonSalarySurplus
2025-26$15.2M+8.2
2026-27$14.4M+9.4
2027-28$15.2M+8.7
2028-29Player$15.9M+7.9

AAV

$15.2M

Remaining

$61M

Value Analysis
$23.4M
$15.2M
ProductionSalary
Net surplus+8.2M
Cap hit10.0%
Contract surplus+34.2M
Trade Value
85Superstar Co-Engine0100

Elite trade asset

QWAR (season)3.4
Career QWAR9.1
Age27
Yrs remaining4

Fantasy

Redraft

SELL HIGH

36.4FPPG
45.6 ↑L5 FPPG
#197ADP
+48vs ADP

Dynasty

HoldAge 27
78/82GP

Role

Starter

97%starts
33.4MPG
L10 MIN

Schedule

Home (39g)35.5
Away (39g)37.2
Rest (54g)36.5
B2B (24g)36.0

Range

11Floor
37Median
77Ceiling
72%Consistency
Recent Production— FP- - 5G- - avg
204060
ADP vs Actual— actual- - ADP pace
9501900
ADP #197 · 78g played+1339 FP
Last 10 Games
DateOppMINPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLKTOVFP
Apr 10vs CLE321811321037.0
Apr 8@ CLE392542420438.0
Apr 6vs NYK393623701256.0
Apr 3@ BKN342143403439.0
Apr 1@ ORL333241531358.0
Mar 30vs BOS351746300129.0
Mar 28vs SAC362758440264.0
Mar 27@ BOS382045220042.0
Mar 25@ DET402143300132.0
Mar 23vs MEM262626410053.0

Betting

Prop

Hit Rates by Line
LineL5L10L20SeasonEdge
17.5+100%90%85%67%+14.3pp
21.5+60%50%50%40%-12.6pp
25+40%40%30%22%-30.6pp
Last 10 Gamesline 21.5
DateOpponentStatLineResult
Apr 10vs CLE1821.5U
Apr 8@ CLE2521.5O
Apr 6vs NYK3621.5O
Apr 3@ BKN2121.5U
Apr 1@ ORL3221.5O
Mar 30vs BOS1721.5U
Mar 28vs SAC2721.5O
Mar 27@ BOS2021.5U
Mar 25@ DET2121.5U
Mar 23vs MEM2621.5O

Invest (coming soon)

$32.14+7.5%+53.8% from IPO
IPO $21High $33Low $12Season $13–$33