Justin Jefferson
Justin Jefferson
WR #18 · 6'1" · $15.2M
quantsportshq.com
QUANT
Q Impact
1
QWAR
68
Q Grade
99
EFFICIENCY
EPA/Target
18
WOPR
99
Target Share
5
Catch Rate
33
Yards/Rec
68
PRODUCTION
Rec Yards
97
Targets
98
Rec TDs
56
Catch Rate
33
Yards/Rec
68
Fantasy PPR
88
RELIABILITY
Consistency
99
Durability
87
VALUE
Surplus ($/WAR)
2
Trade Value
15

QWAR

Quant Sports Wins Above Replacement by season

Statistics

2024 Pro Bowl
SeasonTeamGPCMPATTCMP%YDSTDINTSCKRTG
2021MIN172450.03500080.2
2022MIN1722100.034000118.8
2023MIN10010.0000039.6
2024MIN1711100.022000118.8
Contract
SeasonCap HitSurplus
2025$15.2M-14.1
2026$21.2M-20.1
2027$49.5M-48.4
2028$53.5M-52.3
2029$12.0M-10.8

APY

$35.0M

Remaining

$151M

Value Analysis
$1.1M
$15.2M
ProductionCap Hit
Trade Value
15Fringe asset
WAR (season)-0.3
Career WAR10.3
Age27
Yrs remaining4

Fantasy

Redraft

Hold

11.9FPPG
9.4 ↓L5 FPPG
WRPosition
17Games

Dynasty

HoldAge 27
17GP

Role

WR

100%active%
17games
L10 FP

Schedule

Home (0g)
Away (0g)

Range

2Floor
13Median
23Ceiling
65%Consistency
Recent Production FP- - 5G- - avg
10203040
Season Pace actual- - avg pace
100200
17g · 11.9 FPPGWR
Last 10 Games
WeekOppRecYdsTDFP
Wk 18vs GB8101018.4
Wk 17vs DET43007.0
Wk 16vs NYG685014.5
Wk 15vs DAL22204.2
Wk 14vs WAS21103.1
Wk 13vs SEA2402.4
Wk 12vs GB44808.8
Wk 11vs CHI561011.1
Wk 10vs BAL43707.7
Wk 9vs DET647116.7

Betting

Prop

Hit Rates by Line
LineL5L10L20SeasonEdge
50+40%30%53%53%+0.6pp
60+40%30%53%53%+0.6pp
70+40%20%47%47%-5.3pp
80+40%20%29%29%-23.0pp
Last 10 Gamesline 61.5
WeekOpponentStatLineResult
Wk 18vs GB10161.5OVER
Wk 17vs DET3061.5UNDER
Wk 16vs NYG8561.5OVER
Wk 15vs DAL2261.5UNDER
Wk 14vs WAS1161.5UNDER
Wk 13vs SEA461.5UNDER
Wk 12vs GB4861.5UNDER
Wk 11vs CHI6161.5UNDER
Wk 10vs BAL3761.5UNDER
Wk 9vs DET4761.5UNDER

Invest (coming soon)

$33.87-4.5%+61.3% from IPO
IPO $21High $60Low $19Season $32–$59