Nathan Church
Nathan Church
LF · 5' 10" · $176K
quantsportshq.com

Impact

QWAR
58
Batting
44
Fielding
50
Baserunning
50

Contact Quality

Q-Contact
39
Power
37
Discipline
32
BB Quality
45
Exit Velo
13
Barrels
62

Profile

Sprint Speed
87
Bat Speed
28
Hard Hit%
22
xwOBA
38
Arm Strength
91

Reliability

Consistency
17
Durability
70

Value

Surplus Value
84
Trade Value
34

QWAR

Quant Sports Wins Above Replacement

Statistics

SeasonQWARQ-ContactQ-PowerQ-BBQ-DiscQ-EVQ-BarrelQ-WhiffBattingFieldBRR
2025+0.125th28th16th31st20th8th39th-1.7+0.6+0.1
2026+1.039th37th45th32nd13th62nd64th-1.90.00.0
Contract
Pre-Arbitration
SeasonSalarySurplus
2026Pre-Arb$760K+4.5
2027Pre-Arb$760K+4.6
2028Pre-Arb$760K+4.7
2029ArbitrationArbitration
2030ArbitrationArbitration
2031ArbitrationArbitration

Service

0.3 yrs

Yrs Control

6

3 pre-arb + 3 arb

Value Analysis
$12.2M
$0.8M
ProductionSalary
Net surplus+11.4M
Contract surplus+13.8M
Trade Value
34Average0100
QWAR (season)1.0
Career QWAR1.1
Age25
Yrs control6

Fantasy

Redraft

Hold

1.6FPPG
0.4L5 FPPG
LFPosition
49Games

Dynasty

HoldAge 25
49GP

Role

LF

49games
L10 FP

Schedule

Home (23g)2.1
Away (26g)1.2
Rest (2g)
B2B (47g)1.5

Range

-3Floor
0Median
14Ceiling
60%Consistency
Recent Production FP- - 5G- - avg
10203040
Season Pace actual- - avg pace
050
49g · 1.6 FPPG+0 FP
Last 10 Games
DateOppHHRRBISBFP
Jun 12@ Minnesota Twins0000-1.0
Jun 11@ New York Mets1000-1.0
Jun 10@ New York Mets00000.0
Jun 9@ New York Mets30005.0
May 20vs Pittsburgh Pirates1000-1.0
May 19vs Pittsburgh Pirates10000.0
May 17vs Kansas City Royals0000-1.0
May 16vs Kansas City Royals20004.0
May 15vs Kansas City Royals10014.0
May 14@ Athletics00000.0

Betting

Season49 games

Prop

Hit Rates by Line
LineL5L10L20SeasonEdge
0.5+20%20%35%53%+0.7pp
1.5+20%10%15%22%-29.9pp
Last 10 Gamesline 0.5
DateOpponentStatLineResult
Mar 26vs Tampa Bay Rays30.5O
Mar 28vs Tampa Bay Rays00.5U
Mar 30vs New York Mets00.5U
Mar 31vs New York Mets00.5U
Apr 1vs New York Mets00.5U
Apr 3@ Detroit Tigers00.5U
Apr 4@ Detroit Tigers00.5U
Apr 5@ Detroit Tigers00.5U
Apr 6@ Washington Nationals00.5U
Apr 7@ Washington Nationals10.5O

Invest (coming soon)

$14.08+20.0%-21.0% from IPO
IPO $18High $17Low $16Season $17–$17