Quant Sports
Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
Seattle Mariners
1B · 5' 10" · $16.5M
quantsportshq.com

Impact

QWAR
59
Batting
36
Fielding
50
Baserunning
50

Contact Quality

Q-Contact
42
Power
34
Discipline
40
BB Quality
53
Exit Velo
25
Barrels
38

Profile

Sprint Speed
2
Bat Speed
25
Hard Hit%
38
xwOBA
59
Arm Strength
36

Reliability

Consistency
36
Durability
64

Value

Surplus Value
46
Trade Value
58

QWAR

Quant Sports Wins Above Replacement

Statistics

2024 All-Star
SeasonQWARQ-ContactQ-PowerQ-BBQ-DiscQ-EVQ-BarrelQ-WhiffBattingFieldBRR
2019+0.452nd54th47th56th65th49th76th-2.9-1.2+0.1
2020-1.250th36th50th71st43rd35th97th-3.5-0.20.0
2021+0.056th68th50th47th76th56th81st-4.2-0.1+0.2
2022+2.255th68th47th46th70th62nd78th+11.2-0.2+0.3
2023+3.158th60th67th43rd63rd54th85th+20.4-0.2+0.7
2024+2.554th63rd48th47th74th58th65th+9.2-0.4+0.4
2025+3.250th52nd54th42nd65th37th73rd+22.5-1.0+3.6
2026+1.242nd34th53rd40th25th38th73rd-4.60.00.0
Contract
Free Agent
SeasonSalarySurplus
2026$11.3M-4.8
2027$17.3M-10.8
2028$19.3M-12.8
2029$21.3M-14.8
2030$23.3M-17.0
2031$0+6.0

AAV

$18.5M

Remaining

$93M

Value Analysis
$15.1M
$16.5M
ProductionSalary
Net surplus-1.4M
Contract surplus-54.2M
Trade Value
58Solid Asset0100
QWAR (season)1.2
Career QWAR11.4
Age28
Yrs remaining6

Fantasy

Redraft

Hold

2.5FPPG
3.4L5 FPPG
1BPosition
66Games

Dynasty

MonitorAge 28
66GP

Role

1B

66games
L10 FP

Schedule

Home (33g)2.3
Away (33g)2.7
Rest (1g)—
B2B (65g)2.5

Range

-3Floor
1Median
15Ceiling
75%Consistency
Recent Production— FP- - 5G- - avg
10203040
Season Pace— actual- - avg pace
0100
66g · 2.5 FPPG+0 FP
Last 10 Games
DateOppHHRRBISBFP
Jun 12@ Washington Nationals00000.0
Jun 11@ Baltimore Orioles00001.0
Jun 10@ Baltimore Orioles10114.0
Jun 9@ Baltimore Orioles10001.0
Jun 8@ Baltimore Orioles214011.0
Jun 7@ Detroit Tigers20104.0
Jun 6@ Detroit Tigers10002.0
Jun 5@ Detroit Tigers20004.0
Jun 3vs New York Mets00000.0
Jun 1vs New York Mets11106.0

Betting

Season66 games

Prop

Hit Rates by Line
LineL5L10L20SeasonEdge
0.5+0%40%40%64%+11.3pp
1.5+0%10%15%29%-23.6pp
Last 10 Gamesline 1.5
DateOpponentStatLineResult
Mar 26vs Cleveland Guardians01.5U
Mar 27vs Cleveland Guardians01.5U
Mar 28vs Cleveland Guardians01.5U
Mar 29vs Cleveland Guardians01.5U
Mar 30vs New York Yankees01.5U
Mar 31vs New York Yankees11.5U
Apr 1vs New York Yankees01.5U
Apr 3@ Los Angeles Angels21.5O
Apr 4@ Los Angeles Angels11.5U
Apr 5@ Los Angeles Angels11.5U

Invest (coming soon)

$42.04+15.8%+75.0% from IPO
IPO $24High $43Low $21Season $23–$43