Clay Holmes | New York Mets | QuantSports

Clay Holmes

Position

P

Size

6' 5" · 245 lbs

Age

Mar 27, 1993 (Age 32)

B/T

R/R

Salary

$13.0M

Draft

2011 R9 #272

Debut

2018-04-06

Clay Holmes

P · 6' 5" · $13.0M

quantsportshq.com

Clay Holmes

Position

P

Size

6' 5" · 245 lbs

Age

Mar 27, 1993 (Age 32)

B/T

R/R

Salary

$13.0M

Draft

2011 R9 #272

Debut

2018-04-06

Clay Holmes

P · 6' 5" · $13.0M

quantsportshq.com

Impact

QWAR

58

Pitching

70

DI Runs

61

BIP Runs

64

Pitch Quality

Q-Stuff

48

Velocity

36

Whiff

28

CSW

72

Chase

79

Command

81

Peripherals

K Rate

33

BB Rate

59

xERA

59

Reliability

Consistency

92

Durability

54

Value

Surplus Value

47

Trade Value

40

QWAR

Quant Sports Wins Above Replacement

Statistics

2x All-Star

Season	QWAR	Q-Stuff	Q-Velo	Q-Spin	Q-Whiff	Q-Cmd	Q-Chase	Q-CSW		Q-Pitch	DI Runs	BIP Runs
2018	+0.1	35th	52nd	37th	26th	14th	1st	32nd		-3.7	-3.1	-0.6
2019	+0.8	58th	57th	41st	46th	36th	8th	69th		-0.8	-2.0	+1.2
2021	+2.8	83rd	82nd	66th	71st	87th	12th	95th		+15.1	+7.2	+7.9
2022	+2.5	85th	90th	54th	79th	44th	61st	87th		+13.3	+8.0	+5.6
2023	+2.1	78th	85th	54th	57th	84th	22nd	91st		+12.3	+11.4	+1.1
2024	+1.7	88th	89th	76th	81st	40th	47th	93rd		+5.4	+7.3	-1.9
2025	+3.4	51st	41st	32nd	37th	52nd	65th	69th		+4.2	-3.2	+7.6
2026	+0.9	48th	36th	37th	28th	81st	79th	72nd		+6.6	+3.7	+3.4

Contract

Free Agent

Season	Salary	Surplus
2026	$13.0M	-7.8
2027Player	$12.0M	-7.0

AAV

$12.7M

Remaining

$25M

Value Analysis

$12.0M

$13.0M

ProductionSalary

Net surplus	-1.0M
Contract surplus	-14.8M

Trade Value

QWAR (season)0.9

Career QWAR14.4

Age32

Yrs remaining2

Fantasy

Redraft

Small Sample

13.0FPPG

13.4L5 FPPG

PPosition

9Games

Dynasty

SellAge 32

9GP

Role

SP

100%GS%

5.6IP/G

L10 IP

Schedule

Home (4g)10.5

Away (5g)15.0

Rest (9g)13.0

B2B (0g)—

Range

-1Floor

14Median

25Ceiling

43%Consistency

Recent Production— FP- - 5G- - avg

Season Pace— actual- - avg pace

9g · 13.0 FPPG+0 FP

Last 10 Games

Date	Opp	IP	K	FP
May 15	vs New York Yankees	4.1	8	-1.0
May 9	@ Arizona Diamondbacks	5.2	6	7.0
May 3	@ Los Angeles Angels	6.2	6	22.0
Apr 28	vs Washington Nationals	6.0	6	25.0
Apr 22	vs Minnesota Twins	7.0	3	14.0
Apr 15	@ Los Angeles Dodgers	5.0	4	5.0
Apr 10	vs Athletics	5.1	3	4.0
Apr 4	@ San Francisco Giants	7.0	4	25.0
Mar 30	@ St. Louis Cardinals	5.2	5	16.0

Betting

Season9 games

Prop

Hit Rates by Line

Line	L5	L10	Season	Edge
2.5+	100%	100%	100%	+47.6pp
4.5+	20%	56%	56%	+3.2pp
5.5+	0%	44%	44%	-7.9pp
7.5+	0%	11%	11%	-41.3pp

Last 9 Gamesline 5.5

Date	Opponent	Stat	Line	Result
Mar 30	@ St. Louis Cardinals	5	5.5	U
Apr 4	@ San Francisco Giants	4	5.5	U
Apr 10	vs Athletics	3	5.5	U
Apr 15	@ Los Angeles Dodgers	4	5.5	U
Apr 22	vs Minnesota Twins	3	5.5	U
Apr 28	vs Washington Nationals	6	5.5	O
May 3	@ Los Angeles Angels	6	5.5	O
May 9	@ Arizona Diamondbacks	6	5.5	O
May 15	vs New York Yankees	8	5.5	O

Invest (coming soon)

$17.05+0.3%-4.3% from IPO

IPO $18High $16Low $1Season $11–$15